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🗞️ Driving the news: President Donald Trump signaled he has “sort of” made up his mind on potential military operations in Venezuela, following a week of high-level briefings and an unprecedented U.S. regional military buildup under Operation Southern Spear
• More than a dozen U.S. warships, the USS Gerald R. Ford carrier group, 10 F-35s and roughly 15,000 personnel have been deployed to the Caribbean, intensifying speculation about imminent action
🔭 The context: Trump reviewed a wide spectrum of options — from airstrikes on military and government sites, to targeting drug-trafficking routes, to more direct moves that could aim to remove President Nicolás Maduro
• Legal justifications for strikes remain uncertain, and Trump has appeared cautious about actions that could risk U.S. troops or produce a failed intervention
• Maduro has warned any U.S. military strike could be “another Gaza” or “a new Afghanistan,” while Venezuela has begun its own “massive mobilisation”
• Experts note the U.S. buildup is the largest in the region since 1989, raising both strategic opportunities and major risks, including insurgency, regional destabilization, and political backlash from Trump’s anti-war base.
🌍 Why it matters for the planet: Conflict in Venezuela — home to critical ecosystems, oil reserves, and vast biodiversity — could exacerbate environmental degradation, disrupt regional climate diplomacy, and undermine fragile conservation areas
⏭️ What’s next: Trump is expected to decide soon, with advisors divided over the feasibility and long-term consequences of regime-change operations
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