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This massive hydrogen project could hurt the climate more than it helps

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By illuminem briefings

· 3 min read


illuminem summarises for you the essential news of the day. Read the full piece on HEATMAP or enjoy below:

🗞️ Driving the news: A new report from the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) sharply critiques Air Products' $7 billion blue hydrogen project in Louisiana, arguing it could yield little to no climate benefit despite generating up to $440 million annually in clean energy tax credits
• The report contends that optimistic assumptions about methane leakage and carbon capture efficiency make the facility a “lose-lose proposition” for both the environment and taxpayers

🔭 The context: Blue hydrogen—produced from natural gas with carbon capture and storage (CCS)—has been promoted as a low-emissions bridge to green hydrogen
• However, its climate impact has faced growing scrutiny, especially as U.S. tax incentives like the 45Q carbon sequestration credit expand under the Inflation Reduction Act
• The Louisiana plant, set to open in 2028, is one of several federally supported hydrogen hubs relying on blue hydrogen despite rising concerns about lifecycle emissions and accountability

🌍 Why it matters for the planet: The effectiveness of blue hydrogen projects in reducing emissions hinges on strict methane controls and high carbon capture rates
• The IEEFA report suggests that under realistic industrial conditions, the Louisiana facility could emit up to 7.5 million metric tons of CO₂ equivalent annually—undermining its environmental credibility
• Without lifecycle emissions requirements, such projects risk locking in fossil fuel dependency under the guise of climate action and diverting resources from truly clean hydrogen technologies

⏭️ What's next: As Congress reassesses IRA tax credits, blue hydrogen subsidies like 45Q could face greater scrutiny
Air Products (see sustainability performance) has stated it will not pursue the more stringent 45V clean hydrogen credit, tacitly acknowledging its emissions profile
• With Trump administration policies favoring natural gas-based hubs and loosening methane regulations, future oversight of hydrogen investments—and their alignment with climate goals—remains uncertain
• This moment may shape whether hydrogen policy prioritizes near-term convenience or long-term sustainability

💬 One quote: “There’s just not much of a benefit there, if any. It may be making things worse,” - Anika Juhn, co-author of the IEEFA report, referring to the climate impact of the project

📈 One stat: Air Products' facility aims to sequester 5 million metric tons of CO₂ annually—earning $6.3 billion in tax credits over 12 years—even though the project may generate net-positive emissions under realistic scenarios

See on illuminem's Data Hub™ the sustainability performance of Air Products and its peers: Linde Group and Air Liquide

Click for more news covering the latest on hydrogen

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illuminem's editorial team, providing you with concise summaries of the most important sustainability news of the day. Follow us on Linkedin, Twitter​ & Instagram

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