· 2 min read
illuminem summarises for you the essential news of the day. Read the full piece on The Economist or enjoy below:
🗞️ Driving the news: As Vladimir Putin pushes for a ceasefire in Ukraine on terms favourable to Russia, historical parallels are being drawn with authoritarian "peace" strategies from past conflicts
• A new analysis highlights how tyrants, like Mao Zedong during the Korean War, have previously used prolonged warfare and calculated attrition to force opponents into unfavourable settlements — underscoring the risks of misreading autocratic approaches to conflict resolution.
🔭 The context: During the Korean War, Mao explicitly sought to exhaust American and allied forces through sheer sacrifice, ultimately accepting massive casualties to secure a negotiated stalemate
• That strategy shaped decades of Cold War geopolitics and serves as a cautionary tale
• Today, Putin appears to be following a similar script: presenting peace overtures while continuing aggression, aiming to freeze conflict lines and solidify territorial gains without accountability
🌍 Why it matters for the planet: Prolonged wars have significant humanitarian, environmental, and geopolitical costs
• In Ukraine, ongoing conflict disrupts energy markets, agricultural exports, and the broader European decarbonisation agenda
• Accepting a peace built on coercion may embolden further militarised land grabs and set back global governance on conflict resolution, sovereignty, and post-war reconstruction frameworks
⏭️ What's next: Western governments face increasing pressure to balance support for Ukraine with calls for diplomacy
• The risk is that premature negotiations on Moscow’s terms could entrench impunity and undermine international law
• Decisions in the coming months — especially with U.S. and European elections approaching — will shape not just Ukraine’s future, but broader norms around peace and accountability
💬 One quote: “Ending a war is not always peace — it can also be the beginning of a long injustice.” — Sergey Radchenko, Professor of International Relations, Johns Hopkins SAIS
📈 One stat: 400,000 — Estimated Chinese military deaths in the Korean War, according to internal assessments, far above the 150,000 officially acknowledged today
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