The best hurricane forecasts of 2025 came from an AI model
Reuters
Reuters· 3 min read

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🗞️ Driving the news: AI models, including one from Google DeepMind, have been increasingly used to enhance hurricane forecasting in 2025
• The National Hurricane Center (NHC) successfully predicted Hurricane Melissa's rapid intensification to a Category 5 storm using AI tools, a significant leap in forecasting storm intensity
🔭 The context: While traditional models have improved in predicting storm paths, predicting rapid intensification remained a challenge
• AI-driven models, which use historical weather data, provide faster and more accurate projections of storm behavior, especially as climate change causes storms to intensify more rapidly
🌍 Why it matters for the planet: Given the rise in intensifying storms due to climate change, AI's ability to predict these changes is a major advancement in disaster preparedness
• More accurate forecasting means better protection for vulnerable populations and more efficient resource allocation during hurricanes, improving climate resilience
⏭️ What's next: The NHC and partners plan further testing of AI models next hurricane season
• As AI forecasting tools evolve, they could become integral components of climate adaptation strategies, complementing traditional models while expanding predictive capabilities, especially for rapid storm intensification
💬 One quote: "AI is an amazing tool, but it makes mistakes… there is no way that any of these models can get you the exact right answer." — John Cangialosi, NHC Senior Hurricane Specialist
📈 One stat: The Google DeepMind model outperformed all other models in track and intensity forecast accuracy during the 2025 hurricane season
See on illuminem's Data Hub™ the sustainability performance of Google, Microsoft, and Nvidia, and their peers in the AI-driven climate modeling space
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