Trump could soon lose his best friend in Europe

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🗞️ Driving the news: Viktor Orbán, Hungary’s long-time prime minister and a key European ally of Donald Trump, faces a tough parliamentary election that could end his 16-year rule and reshape the political balance between Washington and Europe

🔭 The context: Orbán’s governing party, Fidesz, is trailing the opposition Tisza Party led by Péter Magyar
• The Hungarian leader has cultivated deep ties with the American conservative movement, hosting conferences and building institutions such as Mathias Corvinus Collegium that serve as hubs for nationalist politics in Europe

🌍 Why it matters for the planet: Orbán has been one of the strongest European critics of EU climate and migration policies
• A change in leadership in Hungary could shift the political balance inside the European Union, potentially affecting debates on energy, sanctions on Russia, and climate policy

⏭️ What’s next: Hungary’s upcoming election will determine whether Orbán’s model of “illiberal democracy” continues to shape European politics or whether a new government aligned more closely with EU institutions emerges

💬 One quote: “If Orbán loses… this is going to have an incredible psychological impact,” said political scientist Ivan Krastev

📈 One stat: Hungary imports more than 90% of its crude oil from Russia, a dependency central to Orbán’s controversial energy policy

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