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Large-scale study in India shows that a pollution market can reduce emissions

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By illuminem briefings

· 3 min read


illuminem summarises for you the essential news of the day. Read the full piece on Yale News or enjoy below:

🗞️ Driving the news: A large-scale study by Yale economists Rohini Pande and Nicholas Ryan finds that India’s pilot cap-and-trade market for particulate matter in Surat reduced emissions by 20–30% and cut industry compliance costs by 11% compared to traditional regulation
The program — the first of its kind targeting particulate pollution — operated effectively over 18 months, with participating factories meeting pollution limits 99% of the time

🔭 The context: Emissions trading schemes (ETS) have proven successful in reducing carbon and sulfur dioxide in countries such as the U.S., EU members, and China
However, India’s experiment in Surat marks the first application of this approach to particulate matter — a leading cause of air pollution-related disease and premature death
Traditional command-and-control policies in India have often failed due to weak enforcement and high compliance burdens

🌍 Why it matters for the planet: Particulate matter (PM2.5) is among the most harmful pollutants to human health, contributing to respiratory and cardiovascular diseases
This study demonstrates that market-based mechanisms can deliver significant environmental and health benefits in developing countries, even with lower state capacity
The scalability of this model holds global potential for more efficient pollution abatement strategies

⏭️ What's next: India is now expanding emissions trading across Gujarat and piloting new markets in cities like Ahmedabad
The central government is also developing a national carbon market, with technical input from the research team
Additional pilots targeting sulfur dioxide in Maharashtra suggest broader uptake of market-based instruments is underway
Key policy decisions in the coming years could shape how low- and middle-income countries tackle air pollution at scale

💬 One quote: “Even in a setting with lower state capacity, a compliance market can work, and often will outperform the command-and-control approach.” – Rohini Pande, Yale University

📈 One stat: The benefits of the cap-and-trade market were found to exceed the costs by at least 25 times, according to a cost-benefit analysis that considered public health impacts and abatement expenses

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