Fed Chair Jerome Powell says U.S. may be drastically overstating jobs numbers
Reuters
Reuters· 2 min read
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🗞️ Driving the news: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell raised concerns about the accuracy of U.S. job growth data
• He announced that official reports may be overestimating job creation by up to 60,000 per month
• This has led to the Fed's decision to continue cutting interest rates despite a seemingly strong labor market with unemployment at 4.4%
🔭 The context: The issue stems from the BLS’s "birth-death" model, which estimates jobs from new and closed businesses but has historically overestimated job creation
• Powell’s comments indicate that actual job growth could be negative, which could impact economic strategies and decisions
🌍 Why it matters for the planet: Economic miscalculations affect sustainability efforts, as inaccurate job data may obscure the economic health needed for businesses to adopt green practices
• A slowdown in employment could affect the pace of the clean energy transition
⏭️ What’s next: The BLS plans to refine its methods for job reporting starting in February, which could lead to more accurate data
• The Fed continues to address inflation while managing the evolving labor market landscape
💬 One quote: “We think there’s an overstatement in these numbers.” — Jerome Powell, Federal Reserve Chair
📈 One stat: Powell suggests a potential loss of 20,000 jobs a month instead of the reported 40,000 new jobs
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