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illuminem summarises for you the essential news of the day. Read the full piece on POLITICO or enjoy below:
🗞️ Driving the news: EU Climate Commissioner Wopke Hoekstra has called the United States' decision not to send high-level representatives to COP30 a “watershed moment” for global climate diplomacy
• In an interview with Bloomberg, Hoekstra warned that the absence of the world’s second-largest emitter and leading geopolitical power “clearly does damage” to the credibility and momentum of the UN climate process
• The comments come just days before COP30 begins in Belém, Brazil, on November 10
🔭 The context: President Trump has confirmed the U.S. will exit the Paris Agreement in January 2026 and has taken steps to dismantle climate policy at home and abroad
• The administration also opposed a recent international effort to impose a carbon fee on shipping, further isolating the U.S. in global negotiations
• Meanwhile, global ambition is faltering: over 100 countries have yet to submit updated climate targets, and a recent UN report found current pledges would reduce carbon emissions by less than 3% from 2019 levels—far below what's needed to avoid catastrophic warming
🌍 Why it matters for the planet: U.S. disengagement from COP30 weakens collective climate ambition and undermines the trust needed for multilateral progress
• As one of the largest historical emitters and a major economic power, U.S. participation is critical for legitimacy, finance mobilization, and pressure on other major emitters like China and India
• The vacuum left by Washington could stall negotiations on adaptation funding, carbon markets, and forest protection—key priorities for the Global South and for host nation Brazil
• Hoekstra also raised alarms about China's continued coal expansion and its inadequate emissions target
⏭️ What's next: COP30 negotiations will proceed under increased strain, with EU officials now under pressure to step into a leadership void
• Key agenda items include finalizing carbon market rules under Article 6, scaling up climate adaptation finance, and advancing Brazil’s proposal for the $125 billion Tropical Forest Forever Facility
• Hoekstra has urged countries to get “concrete” on deliverables, but diplomatic divisions and missing commitments from both major economies and smaller states will complicate consensus-building
💬 One quote: “If a player of that magnitude basically says, ‘Well, I’m going to leave and have it all sorted out by the rest of you,’ clearly that does damage.” — Wopke Hoekstra, EU Climate Commissioner
📈 One stat: Current national climate pledges are projected to cut global emissions by less than 3% from 2019 levels by 2030—well short of what is needed to stay below the 1.5°C warming threshold
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