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Could Trump’s tariffs slow emissions? Sure, experts say, but at great cost overall

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By illuminem briefings

· 3 min read


illuminem summarises for you the essential news of the day. Read the full piece on the The Associated Press or enjoy below:

🗞️ Driving the news: President Donald Trump’s newly imposed global tariffs—including import taxes exceeding 100% on Chinese goods—could temporarily reduce global greenhouse gas emissions by dampening international trade
However, climate experts warn that these short-term reductions come at the cost of long-term progress, particularly by hindering access to clean energy technologies critical to the global energy transition.

🔭 The context: During economic downturns like the COVID-19 pandemic and the 2009 financial crisis, global emissions dropped, but quickly rebounded
Today, over 80% of the world’s solar panels and grid-scale batteries are produced in China
By targeting Chinese imports, Trump’s trade policies are inflating prices for clean technologies, undermining key components of U.S. decarbonization efforts including solar, wind, battery storage, and electric vehicles

🌍 Why it matters for the planet: While emissions may drop by an estimated 1% in the short term, experts agree this is neither sustainable nor structurally meaningful
Tariffs could delay or cancel renewable energy projects and lead to increased reliance on fossil fuels, particularly in the power and transport sectors
The cost volatility and investment uncertainty generated by these policies risk locking the U.S. into high-emissions infrastructure for decades

⏭️ What's next: The energy sector now faces rising costs and project delays as investors reassess the economic viability of clean energy developments
Policy experts suggest the tariff hikes could erode progress made under previous climate strategies by Biden’s administration
If clean technologies remain less accessible due to trade barriers, the U.S. risks falling behind on its 2030 and 2050 climate goals, with broader implications for global climate cooperation

💬 One quote: “Any emissions reduction would be temporary… we really haven’t done anything meaningful to address climate issues,” – Rob Jackson, Chair, Global Carbon Project

📈 One stat: Grid-scale battery prices could rise by 55% under full U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports—jeopardizing clean energy integration and decarbonization strategies

Click for more news covering the latest on carbon and public governance

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illuminem's editorial team, providing you with concise summaries of the most important sustainability news of the day. Follow us on Linkedin, Twitter​ & Instagram

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