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The flawed way we ranked hurricanes

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By illuminem briefings

· 2 min read


illuminem summarizes for you the essential news of the day. Read the full piece on BBC or enjoy below:

🗞️ Driving the news: The Saffir-Simpson scale, which ranks hurricanes by wind speed, is under scrutiny as scientists push for better ways to measure storm severity
While widely used, the scale fails to account for water-related impacts, such as storm surges and flooding, which cause 90% of hurricane-related deaths
The devastation from Hurricane Ernesto in Puerto Rico, despite its low wind speed, highlights the scale's limitations

🔭 The context: Developed in the 1970s, the Saffir-Simpson scale measures a hurricane's maximum sustained wind speed, categorizing storms from one to five
Recent storms like Hurricane Sandy, which had low wind speeds but caused massive flooding, emphasize the need for a more comprehensive system

🌍 Why it matters for the planet: As climate change intensifies storms, there's a growing call to rethink how hurricanes are categorized to improve warnings and save lives
The debate also touches on whether a category six should be added to the existing scale, given the increasing intensity of modern hurricanes

⏭️ What's next: The scientific community is divided on the best path forward. Some advocate for ditching the Saffir-Simpson scale entirely in favor of a more human-centered, risk-based system
Others propose enhancements to the current scale, though concerns remain that adding categories could downplay the seriousness of lower-ranked storms

💬 One quote: “We need to move towards a human-centered, rather than a storm-centered framework for hurricane warnings,” says Kerry Emanuel, professor emeritus at MIT
He suggests a system similar to the UK Met Office’s color-coded risk alerts, which could better communicate the dangers of hurricanes to the public

📈 One stat: 90% of hurricane-related deaths are caused by water, not wind, highlighting the limitations of the current Saffir-Simpson scale in assessing the true danger of storms

Click for more news covering the latest on climate change

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