background imageMikko Palonkorpi

What Finland could teach Ukraine about war and peace

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By illuminem briefings

· 2 min read


illuminem summarises for you the essential news of the day. Read the full piece on The Economist or enjoy below:

🗞️ Driving the news: Finland’s President Alexander Stubb has drawn attention to his country’s wartime experience as a potential model for Ukraine’s path to peace
Speaking during a recent high-level meeting in Washington and in an interview with The Economist, Stubb highlighted Finland’s 1944 decision to cede territory but maintain independence in the face of Soviet aggression — arguing that a similarly pragmatic approach could inform Ukraine’s post-war strategy

🔭 The context: After a brutal Soviet invasion during the Winter War (1939–1940), Finland eventually agreed to a harsh peace settlement in 1944
Despite losing 10% of its territory and facing neutrality restrictions, it retained its sovereignty and built one of the most stable democracies in Europe. The policy of “Finlandisation” — long seen as appeasement — has been re-evaluated as a strategic response by a small nation with few external guarantees

🌍 Why it matters for the planet: Finland’s resilience highlights how small nations can preserve independence and rebuild under duress, offering insights into nation-building, neutrality, and sovereignty in geopolitically constrained contexts
For Ukraine, the case raises broader questions about post-war recovery, balancing realpolitik with democratic aspirations, and navigating peace under ongoing security threats
It also underscores the importance of long-term investment in civil society and national defense

⏭️ What's next: As international talks continue over security guarantees and long-term reconstruction support for Ukraine, Finnish leaders urge Kyiv to focus not only on battlefield outcomes but on the foundations of state resilience: governance, rule of law, and public trust
Stubb’s message emphasizes pragmatism over idealism, suggesting that Ukraine must decide between mourning territorial loss or building a prosperous, secure future
The debate over "Finlandisation" as caution or blueprint is likely to shape European diplomatic discourse in coming months

💬 One quote: "We still feel we won, because we retained our independence." – Alexander Stubb, President of Finland

📈 One stat: 10% – The share of Finnish territory ceded to the Soviet Union under the 1944 peace settlement, including Karelia and parts of Lake Ladoga.

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