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The decade that transformed solar energy: a data-driven look into solar's bright future

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By Rahul Rajeevkumar Urs

· 3 min read


 

Solar power has come out of the shadow of renewable, taking place in the sun of technological innovations and regulatory support. Such green energy has grown at the fastest pace over the last decade, and the evidence seems to point out that this will not only continue but escalate. As a researcher, with strong passion for the planet's sustainable future, I have looked into the data using the latest sources (Electricity generation from solar power) available in order to come up with a prediction of where solar power is heading by 2030. The findings definitely point toward a future as bright as the sun.

The solar surge: a journey from 2010 to 2022

As of 2010, solar power generation was barely a whisper in global energy discourse, but ahead to 2022 and you have a deafening chorus. This comes as the world has seen a substantial increase in the generation of solar power by various countries, with China taking the lead, followed by the United States, India, and several others. Compound annual growth rates (CAGR) tell the picture of very great acceleration: the solar capacity of China grew at an astonishing pace, with India and the United States not too far behind. That said, it is not as if such an increase was by accident. It was pushed by a mix of reducing costs, improvement in technology, and most importantly, an international shift of consciousness that called for sustainability and renewable energy.

Forecasting sunshine: solar power in 2030

Developed for the purpose of forecasting, the ARIMA model will make a projection of the trend from today into the next decade. Using the ARIMA model, the forecast for solar power generation will be of thousands of terawatt-hours by 2030, hence paving the way for a green future. This forecast is much more than a simple statistic: it is the beacon of hope in the fight against climate change, and above all, it helps to disclose the showcase of human innovation and perseverance.

The catalysts of change

The surge in solar power can be attributed to several key factors:

·   Technological innovation: Solar panels are more efficient than ever, thanks to breakthroughs in photovoltaic technology

·   Economic viability: The cost of solar power has plummeted, making it competitive with, if not cheaper than, fossil fuels

·   Policy and incentives: Governments around the world are waking up to the potential of solar, offering various incentives to spur growth

·   Environmental awareness: As the realities of climate change become ever more apparent, the push for renewable energy sources has intensified

Challenges on the horizon

Going forward, the road ahead is not without difficulties. Energy storage, grid integration, and the environmental impact of solar panel production are all important issues to overcome. But, again, these challenges present to the world the opportunities for innovating and investing and doing so in a globally collaborative way.

The role we play

As we march forward into new times of generation of energy, it seems quite evident that solar power will indeed be one of the main key thoughts when drawing up further energy plans for our sustainable future. But that changeover to a renewable energy landscape will be much more than the incoming technology; it will involve the needed change in provoking a social revolution. We can all be part of the Solar Revolution, set up renewables at home, and modern support of modern energy regulations, making investments in green technologies. Not only is the future bright, but it is also solar-powered.

This article is also published on the author's LinkedIn page. illuminem Voices is a democratic space presenting the thoughts and opinions of leading Sustainability & Energy writers, their opinions do not necessarily represent those of illuminem.

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About the author

Rahul Rajeevkumar Urs is a PhD candidate at Khalifa University and a renewable energy engineer specializing in solar, hydrogen, and energy storage. With 6+ years of experience, he focused on integrating these technologies for efficient building solutions in the clean energy transition. His goal as an engineer is to advance renewable energy research and apply scientific advancements to real-world challenges.

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