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Shell lowers gas production guidance after unplanned maintenance hit volumes

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By illuminem briefings

· 3 min read


illuminem summarises for you the essential news of the day. Read the full piece on The Wall Street Journal or enjoy below:

🗞️ Driving the news: Shell has revised down its Q1 2025 guidance for integrated gas production, citing unplanned maintenance issues, particularly in Australia
The company now expects output between 910,000 and 950,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day—lower than its earlier forecast of 930,000 to 990,000

🔭 The context: Shell is a dominant player in the global liquefied natural gas (LNG) market, with operations spanning Australia, Qatar, and the U.S. Gulf Coast
Unplanned outages in its upstream gas operations can ripple through global energy markets, especially as LNG demand remains high amid the global energy transition and geopolitical tensions reshaping supply chains
Australia's LNG sector, where Shell operates the Prelude floating LNG facility, has been especially prone to operational and labor disruptions

🌍 Why it matters for the planet: Natural gas is often cited as a "bridge fuel" in the shift away from coal, offering lower carbon intensity per unit of energy
Shell's lowered output highlights the fragility of global gas supply chains and the importance of investment in grid stability and cleaner alternatives
However, persistent reliance on fossil gas—even if less polluting—can delay the adoption of fully renewable systems if not carefully managed and phased

⏭️ What's next: Shell will need to stabilize its operations and reassure investors as it approaches earnings season, especially given its strategic emphasis on LNG as a core pillar of its energy transition pathway
The company is likely to face intensified scrutiny from stakeholders on both reliability and emissions performance
Meanwhile, markets may watch closely for signs of supply tightening, which could influence global LNG prices and affect importing countries’ energy security strategies

💬 One quote: “This adjustment is a reminder that even the best-resourced energy players face reliability risks in a complex, transitioning energy landscape.”

📈 One stat: Shell’s updated output estimate is down approximately 4% from the top end of its previous guidance range

See here detailed sustainability performance of companies like Shell, Chevron, and TotalEnergies

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