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Scientists trace heat waves back to individual fossil fuel companies

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By illuminem briefings

· 3 min read


illuminem summarises for you the essential news of the day. Read the full piece on CNN or enjoy below:

🗞️ Driving the news: A groundbreaking study published in Nature has for the first time directly linked worsening global heat waves to emissions from individual fossil fuel and cement companies, known as “carbon majors”
Analyzing 213 major heat waves between 2000 and 2023, researchers found that as many as 25% would have been virtually impossible without emissions from just 14 of the largest producers, including ExxonMobil and Chevron
The study concludes these companies are responsible for half of the rise in heat wave intensity over the past century

🔭 The context: Event attribution science has previously shown how climate change amplifies extreme weather, and other studies have traced overall emissions to specific companies
This research combines those strands, providing a quantified causal chain from corporate emissions to deadly climate impacts
It estimates that the top 14 carbon majors alone raised global median heat wave intensity between 2010 and 2019 by nearly 0.5°C
The work arrives as climate litigation against fossil fuel firms accelerates worldwide

🌍 Why it matters for the planet: By connecting extreme weather directly to the emissions of specific companies, the study strengthens legal and moral arguments for accountability
It may bolster lawsuits seeking damages for climate-related harms, helping communities recover costs from deadly heat waves
More broadly, it highlights how corporate responsibility extends across the full fossil fuel value chain — from extraction to combustion — underscoring the urgency of a transition away from carbon-intensive energy

⏭️ What's next: The findings are expected to be cited in climate liability cases in the U.S. and abroad, where courts have increasingly demanded stronger scientific evidence
Researchers plan to expand the methodology to floods, wildfires, and other extreme events
Policymakers and legal experts are likely to debate whether and how responsibility can be apportioned among major emitters, potentially reshaping the landscape of climate accountability

💬 One quote: “Courts are indicating a willingness to hold carbon majors accountable, but at the same time asking for more scientific certainty, and our study helps to close a part of that gap.” – Corina Heri, law professor and study coauthor

📈 One stat: Between 2010 and 2019, climate change raised the median intensity of heat waves by 1.68°C, of which 0.47°C came from the top 14 carbon majors alone

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