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Scientists predict exact month the Arctic could lose all its sea ice

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By illuminem briefings

· 2 min read


illuminem summarizes for you the essential news of the day. Read the full piece on Euronews or enjoy below:

🗞️ Driving the news: A new study published in Nature Communications predicts the Arctic Ocean could experience its first ice-free day as early as summer 2027, years ahead of previous estimates that placed this event around 2030
The study, based on over 300 climate models, reveals that such an event is now inevitable due to past greenhouse gas emissions, though reducing current emissions could delay the timeline
This marks a significant climate tipping point for the fragile Arctic ecosystem

🔭 The context: Arctic sea ice has been declining by over 12% per decade since 1978, equating to a loss of approximately 80,000 square kilometers annually—an area the size of Austria
Ice-free conditions, defined as less than 1 million square kilometers of sea ice, would alter one of Earth’s defining natural features and accelerate global warming through reduced solar reflection
Industries could exploit newly accessible Arctic waters for shipping, fishing, and mining, raising concerns about unregulated activities

🌍 Why it matters for the planet: The loss of Arctic sea ice would drastically impact polar ecosystems, from polar bears to zooplankton, and contribute to more extreme global weather events
Without reflective ice, the Arctic Ocean will absorb more solar heat, further accelerating climate change

⏭️ What's next: While irreversible overall, cutting emissions could still delay the first ice-free summer and mitigate some of the worst impacts
This underscores the urgency for global cooperation to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and strengthen climate policies

💬 One quote: "The first ice-free day in the Arctic won’t change things dramatically, but it will show that we’ve fundamentally altered one of the defining characteristics of the natural environment in the Arctic Ocean,"- climatologist Alexandra Jahn

📈 One stat: Arctic sea ice has been shrinking at a rate of 80,000 square kilometers annually, equivalent to the size of Austria

Click for more news covering the latest on climate change 

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