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Carbon credit companies Vie to outlast a two-year slump

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By illuminem briefings

· 2 min read


illuminem summarizes for you the essential news of the day. Read the full piece on The Wall Street Journal or enjoy below:

🗞️ Driving the news: The voluntary carbon market (VCM) has struggled to recover from a significant downturn, contracting from $1.9 billion in 2022 to $723 million in 2023
Companies like South Pole and Sylvera are restructuring as demand shifts toward higher-quality and removal-focused carbon credits
Many stakeholders expect demand to stabilize as compliance markets and decarbonization pledges for 2030 increase relevance

🔭 The context: Criticism of flawed carbon crediting projects, like the Kariba REDD+ initiative, undermined market confidence and sent prices plummeting
Compliance markets, such as the EU’s emissions trading scheme, command far higher prices for credits, emphasizing the need for quality and credibility in the voluntary space
Major players are repositioning to meet buyer demands for credits aligned with compliance frameworks and long-term removal goals

🌍 Why it matters for the planet: High-quality carbon credits are critical for achieving global decarbonization goals, especially as companies integrate offsets into 2030 emission reduction strategies
The shift from reduction to removal credits reflects growing urgency to address atmospheric CO₂ directly
However, continued skepticism and political uncertainty may hinder the VCM's role in combating climate change

⏭️ What's next: The VCM anticipates increased consolidation, with smaller actors potentially being acquired
Demand for removal-focused credits is expected to grow, alongside investments in high-quality projects
Compliance markets and corporate climate targets for 2030 will play a pivotal role in shaping the market’s future trajectory

💬 One quote: “A crisis is a good crisis,” - South Pole CEO Daniel Klier, emphasizing the opportunity to pivot toward higher standards and new strategies

📈 One stat: Voluntary carbon market value fell from $1.9 billion in 2022 to $723 million in 2023, with 2024 projected to match or slightly exceed this level

Click for more news covering the latest on carbon markets

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